Ubiratan vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ubiratan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
URS
1 - 2
UBI
9%
16%
75%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
IVI
1 - 1
UBI
10%
17%
73%
|
75 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
UBI
3 - 0
ITA
85%
11%
4%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
UBI
1 - 2
NAV
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
7DE
0 - 5
UBI
9%
16%
75%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
ITA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 3
AGU
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
7DE
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
IVI
2 - 0
AGU
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
URS
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |