Série D Brazil Ronda final. Last 16
Global 2-2
Uberlândia vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uberlândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NME
0 - 2
UBE
38%
28%
35%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
NME
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
UBE
1 - 1
FER
28%
29%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
UBE
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PAT
0 - 1
UBE
20%
24%
56%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
BAN
54%
26%
20%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAN
1 - 1
JEC
29%
29%
42%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
JEC
3 - 1
CAS
25%
27%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AIM
0 - 0
JEC
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 1
JEC
39%
28%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |