U.B. Conquense B vs U.D. Alpera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
16.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.B. Conquense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HIG
0 - 4
CON
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CON
2 - 2
OMA
80%
12%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 0
CON
21%
20%
60%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CON
1 - 1
CMG
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
CON
28%
22%
50%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ALP
3 - 0
MUN
53%
21%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
DBA
3 - 0
ALP
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
4 - 0
BON
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
TAR
0 - 1
ALP
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALP
3 - 1
ATL
69%
17%
14%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |