U.B. Conquense B vs U.D. Alpera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U.B. Conquense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
CON
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
TOM
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
ADS
2 - 0
CON
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CON
1 - 4
UDT
51%
23%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 1
CON
15%
20%
65%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
U.D. Alpera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ALP
2 - 1
CDP
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CDM
4 - 1
ALP
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALP
0 - 1
CAU
38%
24%
39%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDC
3 - 0
ALP
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ALP
1 - 0
ALM
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |