UB Conquense vs Mérida UD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
MER
2 - 0
UBC
33%
29%
39%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
RMC
0 - 1
UBC
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
UBC
0 - 2
RMC
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
UBC
1 - 0
BUR
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
BUR
0 - 0
UBC
48%
26%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mérida UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
MER
2 - 0
UBC
33%
29%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MER
3 - 0
SPV
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BAD
0 - 1
MER
14%
28%
58%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MER
2 - 0
MON
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 2
MER
26%
29%
45%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |