UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Álica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+209%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
12º
8º
14
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UA Zacatecas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
RAF
3 - 1
ZAC
30%
24%
45%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 3
CIM
28%
26%
47%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 3
DUR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
DUR
1 - 1
ZAC
62%
21%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ZAC
2 - 0
MIN
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres de Álica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
TDA
1 - 0
MIN
21%
23%
56%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MFC
0 - 2
TDA
72%
16%
11%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
TDA
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 58 | 35 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CFT
3 - 2
TDA
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
TDA
5 - 0
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +3 |