Copa de Andalucía Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
UD Tomares vs Atlético Espeleño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Tomares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ICR
1 - 1
UDT
22%
22%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
UDT
1 - 3
TOR
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CCF
2 - 1
UDT
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
UDT
0 - 2
REC
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARO
2 - 1
UDT
26%
22%
52%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Espeleño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 2
CRD
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 2
SRO
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
ADS
2 - 1
ESP
30%
22%
48%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CIU
0 - 4
ESP
11%
17%
73%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 3
CAB
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |