Tyumen vs Khimik Dzerzhinsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tyumen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
RUB
0 - 1
TYU
14%
22%
64%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
TYU
3 - 1
DIN
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
UFA
1 - 1
TYU
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
TYU
1 - 0
UFA
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
OKT
1 - 0
TYU
29%
25%
47%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
KHI
0 - 1
FCC
27%
27%
46%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
ZEN
3 - 1
KHI
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
KHI
2 - 2
GUC
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GUC
0 - 2
KHI
75%
17%
8%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
SYZ
3 - 0
KHI
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |