Mongolia League Round 24

Tuv Azarganuud vs Brera Ilch FC analysis

Tuv Azarganuud Brera Ilch FC
27 ELO 14
8.3% Tilt 12.7%
14510º General ELO ranking 14525º
10º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
85.9%
Tuv Azarganuud
9.2%
Draw
4.9%
Brera Ilch FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.8%
Win probability
Tuv Azarganuud
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
4.9%
Win probability
Brera Ilch FC
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tuv Azarganuud
-28%
-53%
Brera Ilch FC

ELO progression

Tuv Azarganuud
Brera Ilch FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tuv Azarganuud
Tuv Azarganuud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2024
BFC
Bavarians FC
0 - 9
Tuv Azarganuud
TBF
8%
12%
80%
27 7 20 0
19 May. 2024
TBF
Tuv Azarganuud
1 - 0
SP Falcons
SPF
46%
21%
33%
26 29 3 +1
15 May. 2024
KHA
Khangarid
2 - 1
Tuv Azarganuud
TBF
48%
20%
32%
27 25 2 -1
12 May. 2024
TBF
Tuv Azarganuud
2 - 2
Khaan Khuns - Erchim
ERC
61%
18%
22%
27 22 5 0
05 May. 2024
DER
FC Deren
0 - 1
Tuv Azarganuud
TBF
48%
21%
32%
26 27 1 +1

Matches

Brera Ilch FC
Brera Ilch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2024
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
1 - 2
Khovd
KHC
36%
21%
44%
13 15 2 0
18 May. 2024
ULA
FC Ulaanbaatar
4 - 2
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
85%
10%
6%
13 26 13 0
14 May. 2024
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
1 - 3
Khoromkhon
KHO
23%
18%
59%
14 18 4 -1
10 May. 2024
BSI
Brera Ilch FC
4 - 3
Bavarians FC
BFC
76%
14%
10%
14 7 7 0
04 May. 2024
SPF
SP Falcons
6 - 1
Brera Ilch FC
BSI
81%
12%
7%
14 28 14 0