Kenya Premier League Round 5

Tusker FC vs FC Talanta analysis

Tusker FC FC Talanta
69 ELO 57
-16.1% Tilt -1.1%
1877º General ELO ranking 3221º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
54.8%
Tusker FC
25.5%
Draw
19.6%
FC Talanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
Tusker FC
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
19.6%
Win probability
FC Talanta
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tusker FC
-3%
-5%
FC Talanta

Points and table prediction

Tusker FC
Their league position
FC Talanta
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
10º
35
11º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kenya Police FC
65
65
100%
Gor Mahia
59
59
100%
Kakamega Homeboyz
58
58
100%
Tusker FC
57
57
100%
Shabana
53
53
100%
AFC Leopards
51
51
100%
Sofapaka
46
46
100%
Bandari
44
44
100%
KCB
42
42
0%
Mathare United
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Kariobangi Sharks
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Ulinzi Stars
12º
38
38
12º
100%
Murang'a SEAL
13º
37
37
13º
100%
Mara Sugar
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bidco United FC
15º
35
35
15º
100%
FC Talanta
17º
35
35
16º
0%
Posta Rangers
16º
35
35
17º
0%
Nairobi City Stars
18º
35
35
18º
0%
Expected probabilities
Tusker FC
FC Talanta
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Tusker FC
FC Talanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tusker FC
Tusker FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2024
POL
Kenya Police FC
1 - 1
Tusker FC
TUS
44%
26%
30%
69 68 1 0
22 Sep. 2024
TUS
Tusker FC
2 - 2
Kakamega Homeboyz
KAK
45%
29%
27%
69 66 3 0
14 Sep. 2024
KAS
Kariobangi Sharks
3 - 2
Tusker FC
TUS
39%
26%
35%
69 64 5 0
24 Aug. 2024
TUS
Tusker FC
1 - 0
Sofapaka
SOF
52%
27%
22%
69 60 9 0
08 Aug. 2024
KIT
Kitara
0 - 1
Tusker FC
TUS
6%
12%
82%
69 39 30 0

Matches

FC Talanta
FC Talanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2024
BFC
Bidco United FC
1 - 1
FC Talanta
TLT
48%
26%
26%
58 61 3 0
14 Sep. 2024
SOF
Sofapaka
0 - 1
FC Talanta
TLT
49%
26%
26%
57 60 3 +1
23 Jun. 2024
TLT
FC Talanta
1 - 2
Bandari
BAN
37%
29%
34%
57 65 8 0
19 Jun. 2024
GOR
Gor Mahia
2 - 4
FC Talanta
TLT
62%
23%
15%
56 69 13 +1
15 Jun. 2024
WAZ
Muhoroni Youth
0 - 1
FC Talanta
TLT
40%
26%
33%
55 53 2 +1