Tusker FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
17%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
TUS
1 - 1
WES
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
TUS
34%
28%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
TUS
0 - 2
THI
62%
22%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SOF
1 - 1
TUS
30%
27%
44%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TUS
2 - 2
CHE
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Kakamega Homeboyz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
KAK
4 - 1
AFC
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
THI
1 - 1
KAK
43%
29%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
KAK
2 - 1
MAT
46%
29%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CHE
0 - 1
KAK
36%
32%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
KAK
1 - 1
SOF
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |