Tusker FC vs Gor Mahia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
3º
54
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 64 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 50 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
53% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 41 |
10º
|
50% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 38 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 33 |
18º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 98% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
TUS
1 - 0
BAN
51%
28%
21%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
SHA
2 - 1
TUS
21%
25%
55%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
POS
1 - 3
TUS
19%
25%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 1
BFC
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 1
TUS
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gor Mahia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2025 |
GOR
0 - 0
KIT
72%
18%
11%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 0
KAS
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
GOR
3 - 0
ULI
62%
24%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
GOR
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
GOR
1 - 1
SHA
66%
22%
12%
|
70 | 33 | 37 | 0 |