Landesliga Estiria. Jor. 10

TUS Heiligenkreuz vs Wildon analysis

TUS Heiligenkreuz Wildon
31 ELO 29
7.4% Tilt 8.4%
8370º General ELO ranking 7918º
133º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
58.4%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
19.6%
Draw
22%
Wildon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
TUS Heiligenkreuz
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22%
Win probability
Wildon
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TUS Heiligenkreuz
-31%
+43%
Wildon

Points and table prediction

TUS Heiligenkreuz
Their league position
Wildon
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
13º
11º
47
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Wildon
47
53
26.5%
SV Tillmitsch
49
53
23.5%
Lafnitz II
45
51
22%
Kalsdorf
45
51
19%
Fehring
44
50
17%
Hartberg II
45
48
28%
Köflach
42
46
19.5%
Union Gamlitz
11º
37
43
12%
Ilzer SV
39
43
17.5%
SC Fürstenfeld
38
42
10º
17%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
12º
37
41
11º
20%
FC Schladming
10º
37
41
12º
29%
Lebring
13º
36
40
13º
54%
SC Bruck
14º
30
34
14º
90.5%
SV Union Gnas
16º
18
21
15º
41.5%
Frauental
15º
20
21
16º
41.5%
Expected probabilities
TUS Heiligenkreuz
Wildon
100% 100%

ELO progression

TUS Heiligenkreuz
Wildon
SC Bruck
Kalsdorf
FC Schladming
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TUS Heiligenkreuz
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2023
ILZ
Ilzer SV
2 - 1
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
23%
21%
56%
32 23 9 0
22 Sep. 2023
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
2 - 1
Lafnitz II
LAF
54%
21%
25%
31 30 1 +1
15 Sep. 2023
FEH
Fehring
0 - 2
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
51%
20%
28%
29 32 3 +2
08 Sep. 2023
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
2 - 2
Union Gamlitz
UGA
50%
21%
29%
28 28 0 +1
01 Sep. 2023
TSH
Hartberg II
6 - 5
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
10%
15%
75%
30 13 17 -2

Matches

Wildon
Wildon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2023
SVW
Wildon
2 - 0
SV Union Gnas
GNA
40%
22%
38%
26 28 2 0
22 Sep. 2023
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
2 - 2
Wildon
SVW
64%
18%
18%
25 30 5 +1
15 Sep. 2023
ILZ
Ilzer SV
1 - 3
Wildon
SVW
50%
22%
28%
24 25 1 +1
09 Sep. 2023
SVW
Wildon
2 - 1
Lafnitz II
LAF
30%
23%
48%
22 30 8 +2
01 Sep. 2023
FEH
Fehring
2 - 1
Wildon
SVW
66%
17%
17%
22 30 8 0
X