TUS Heiligenkreuz vs Liezen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
6º
14º
9º
19
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TUS Heiligenkreuz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
UGA
2 - 1
HGK
27%
21%
53%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
HGK
3 - 0
SVW
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 2
HGK
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HGK
4 - 0
LAF
36%
24%
40%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FUR
1 - 1
HGK
44%
22%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Liezen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 0
SVF
31%
25%
44%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 2
UGA
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
LAF
2 - 0
LIE
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SVW
1 - 0
LIE
74%
16%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
LIE
2 - 2
SCB
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |