Turris Neapolis vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 2
TUR
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
MES
5 - 2
TUR
37%
25%
39%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
TUR
1 - 0
BAR
8%
20%
72%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
TUR
2 - 0
SAN
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 1
TUR
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
32 | 66 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
CCI
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 3
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MES
42%
27%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |