Turris Neapolis vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
HYR
0 - 0
TUR
12%
17%
71%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TUR
1 - 2
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2010 |
CAV
4 - 0
TUR
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
4 - 1
TUR
48%
23%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
TUR
3 - 3
VAL
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 2
HYR
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
FOR
22%
22%
55%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +3 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
MES
23%
25%
52%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -2 |