Turris Neapolis vs Audace Cerignola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 2
TUR
47%
25%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TUR
2 - 3
ASD
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
RAA
1 - 0
TUR
33%
26%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 0
NFR
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RPO
3 - 1
TUR
78%
15%
7%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Audace Cerignola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 1
RPO
44%
25%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAV
1 - 2
AUD
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AUD
4 - 1
SSM
80%
14%
6%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TAR
2 - 1
AUD
31%
26%
43%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |