Cup . 1/16
Global 1-7
Turriff United vs Greenock Morton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
66.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turriff United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
BUC
0 - 1
TUR
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CIV
1 - 2
TUR
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TUR
6 - 1
BUR
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Greenock Morton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
CWB
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
DUM
1 - 5
GRE
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 0
ALB
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
GRE
0 - 1
HAM
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 1
GRE
20%
22%
58%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |