Turrialba vs Aserrí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turrialba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GRE
0 - 2
TUR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TUR
1 - 3
ESC
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
DEP
0 - 0
TUR
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
TUR
3 - 0
SAN
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 1
TUR
60%
22%
19%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aserrí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
ASE
2 - 1
GRE
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ESC
3 - 1
ASE
76%
15%
8%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ASE
1 - 1
DEP
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASE
81%
14%
6%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
ASE
0 - 1
GUA
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |