Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Turnovo vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
45.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
HKS
2 - 1
HTR
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
HTR
2 - 2
SUD
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 2
HTR
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
VAR
5 - 0
HTR
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
HTR
3 - 0
RAB
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
HKS
1 - 1
RIJ
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
HKS
2 - 1
HTR
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ZAD
1 - 5
HKS
25%
27%
48%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
DZG
1 - 1
HKS
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DZG
3 - 1
HKS
61%
21%
17%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |