Turégano vs Villarcayo Nela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
SJO
2 - 4
TUR
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
INT
2 - 1
TUR
37%
24%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
GRA
70%
17%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
CUE
1 - 5
TUR
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TUR
8 - 0
LAS
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 5
CEB
32%
27%
42%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
VIL
67%
18%
15%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
ABE
65%
21%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
COL
29%
26%
45%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SJO
2 - 2
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |