TuPS vs JäPS II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
64.4%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TuPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 2
TUP
24%
20%
57%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
TUP
1 - 5
MPS
14%
16%
70%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
RPS
3 - 1
TUP
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 0
NOU
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
TUP
3 - 2
PKK
21%
21%
59%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
JäPS II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
RPS
2 - 2
JAP
35%
22%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
JAP
5 - 0
PKK
51%
22%
27%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
MPS
2 - 2
JAP
65%
17%
18%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
JAP
1 - 2
PVA
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
JAP
2 - 0
RPS
57%
20%
23%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |