Tupi vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
USC
2 - 0
TUP
55%
25%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
TUP
2 - 2
USC
46%
25%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
TUP
3 - 0
MAD
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
CEN
1 - 1
TUP
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
TUP
1 - 0
BOT
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
DEM
0 - 0
VIL
63%
20%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
DEM
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 1
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 3
ATM
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
UBE
0 - 1
VIL
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |