Série C . Semi-finals
Global 0-0
Tupi vs Londrina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
33.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 2
TUP
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TUP
0 - 2
BRA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LON
3 - 0
TUP
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 0
TUP
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Londrina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
CON
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
LON
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 1
LON
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LON
3 - 0
TUP
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
LON
1 - 1
CAX
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |