CAF U20 . Last 16
Global 1-4
Tunisia U20s vs Senegal U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 1
CIV
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NER
1 - 1
TUN
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
TUN
3 - 0
NER
78%
14%
7%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
DZA
1 - 2
TUN
25%
23%
53%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
DZA
1 - 1
TUN
25%
23%
53%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
1 - 3
MLI
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
5 - 0
SEN
85%
11%
4%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
UZB
0 - 1
SEN
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
UKR
1 - 1
SEN
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
SEN
2 - 1
QAT
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |