CAF U20 Preliminary stages Quarter-finals
Global 2-5
Tunisia U20 vs Algeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALG
3 - 1
TUN
26%
25%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
3 - 0
ALG
59%
21%
21%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 1
ALG
63%
20%
18%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
SEN
2 - 0
TUN
21%
23%
56%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
SEN
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
ALG
3 - 1
TUN
26%
25%
50%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
3 - 0
ALG
59%
21%
21%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2017 |
TUN
0 - 1
ALG
63%
20%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MTN
2 - 0
ALG
11%
19%
71%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALG
2 - 1
MTN
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |