Tuggen vs Winterthur II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
6º
4º
1
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 65 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 56 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
3º
|
6 | 56 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
|
5º
|
6 | 54 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 46 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
|
15º
|
1 | 46 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 43 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 40 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 37 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 36 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 33 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 33 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
11º
|
2 | 32 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 32 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 27 |
16º
|
23% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
25.5% | 10% |
|
Possible next round
|
20% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 81% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
STG
2 - 4
TUG
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
TUG
0 - 2
TAV
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
TUG
3 - 2
DIE
64%
19%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KOS
1 - 4
TUG
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TUG
3 - 2
WIN
43%
24%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Winterthur II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
WIN
3 - 3
ESC
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
WIN
1 - 3
YFJ
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
WIN
2 - 1
MEN
67%
19%
14%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
TUG
3 - 2
WIN
43%
24%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
WIN
2 - 2
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |