Tuggen vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
10.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
EMM
4 - 3
TUG
35%
25%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TUG
0 - 2
BAD
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GCB
1 - 3
TUG
25%
24%
52%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 1
TUG
47%
24%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TUG
4 - 1
RSZ
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
MEN
2 - 1
LUG
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
LUZ
0 - 1
MEN
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
MEN
2 - 1
ZOF
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 1
MEN
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
MEN
2 - 0
KRE
50%
24%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |