Tuggen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
TUG
2 - 0
RSZ
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TUG
4 - 1
KUS
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
TUG
14%
21%
65%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
TUG
3 - 1
STG
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 0
TUG
22%
24%
54%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -3 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 2
LUG
53%
26%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
WOH
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUG
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2007 |
LUG
1 - 1
KRI
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2007 |
CON
1 - 1
LUG
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |