Tuggen vs Lugano II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
TUG
0 - 4
ESC
69%
17%
14%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
LUZ
1 - 3
TUG
38%
25%
38%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
TUG
2 - 0
SCB
62%
20%
18%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
TUG
2 - 1
WIL
27%
23%
50%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FCG
1 - 1
TUG
34%
25%
42%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LUG
0 - 2
LUZ
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SCB
1 - 0
LUG
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
LUG
2 - 0
FCG
50%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
BUO
2 - 1
LUG
36%
24%
40%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
LUG
4 - 2
YFJ
37%
25%
39%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |