Tuggen vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
TUG
0 - 2
LOC
69%
17%
14%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
OLD
1 - 2
TUG
36%
23%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FCZ
2 - 1
TUG
39%
24%
37%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TUG
2 - 0
SCB
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SIO
4 - 1
TUG
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FCZ
3 - 1
ETO
52%
22%
26%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ETO
3 - 0
SCB
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
SIO
2 - 2
ETO
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ETO
0 - 2
BAS
37%
24%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 1
ETO
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |