Tuggen vs Breitenrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tuggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KRI
1 - 1
TUG
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
SIO
8 - 3
TUG
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
TUG
2 - 1
STG
71%
17%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
YFJ
0 - 3
TUG
70%
18%
13%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TUG
3 - 1
ETO
62%
20%
18%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Breitenrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
YFJ
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 4
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 0
ETO
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 5
KRI
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |