Tudelano vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tudelano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2010 |
TUD
2 - 1
STB
52%
23%
24%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2010 |
STB
2 - 1
TUD
52%
26%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
TUD
6 - 0
LLA
75%
16%
10%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
LLA
2 - 2
TUD
19%
22%
59%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
TUD
2 - 1
ATB
54%
24%
23%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
LUC
1 - 0
POL
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
CIU
0 - 2
LUC
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
LUC
6 - 0
AGU
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
AGD
1 - 0
LUC
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 2
LUC
57%
24%
19%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |