Tucson vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
4 - 2
NER
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
CRW
2 - 2
TUC
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
TUC
2 - 1
IMI
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 0
TUC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
FMA
56%
25%
20%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 1
CRW
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
1 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
RIC
1 - 1
OMA
27%
27%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
OMA
4 - 2
NER
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |