Tucson vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NCO
2 - 1
TUC
52%
24%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
TUC
0 - 2
CVF
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GTR
2 - 2
TUC
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TUC
2 - 1
CRW
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 1
TUC
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 1
RIC
28%
27%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
0 - 1
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CVF
3 - 0
FMA
38%
25%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
1 - 2
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
FMA
2 - 5
CRW
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |