Tucson vs Albuquerque Sol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
TUC
2 - 1
MAQ
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
0 - 1
FRE
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 2
COR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 4
TUC
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BYU
1 - 2
TUC
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Albuquerque Sol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 3
BOU
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
BOU
34%
25%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
COR
5 - 1
ALB
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
BOU
1 - 0
ALB
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
TUC
2 - 1
ALB
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |