Tucanes FC vs UA Aragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 1
TUC
55%
22%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
UCV
1 - 0
TUC
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
TUC
4 - 1
EST
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
TUC
1 - 2
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
TUC
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
UA Aragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2010 |
DEA
0 - 3
ARA
15%
20%
65%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
ARA
3 - 2
CAR
29%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ITA
4 - 1
ARA
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |