Tucanes FC vs Guatire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TUC
0 - 0
EST
83%
12%
5%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TUC
0 - 1
YAR
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ANZ
6 - 1
TUC
76%
16%
8%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
TUC
1 - 3
TRU
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
TUC
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
REA
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
ANG
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
43%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |