Tucanes FC vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TUC
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 2
TUC
41%
26%
34%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
TUC
0 - 0
PDA
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
TUC
1 - 1
LAL
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DIA
0 - 0
TUC
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 2
ANG
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
LAL
1 - 1
ESC
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 1
ESC
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
DIA
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 1
VEN
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |