Tucanes FC U20 vs Portuguesa U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tucanes FC U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
6 - 0
TUC
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
9 - 1
TUC
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
DLA
8 - 3
TUC
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
POR
5 - 1
TUC
53%
24%
23%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Portuguesa U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
POR
1 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DLA
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
POR
2 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
POR
5 - 1
TUC
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |