Tubarao vs Tocantins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tubarao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
TUB
4 - 1
KEC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
JEC
1 - 1
TUB
46%
25%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
GUR
2 - 1
TUB
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
TUB
2 - 2
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ARA
1 - 0
TUB
62%
21%
18%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Tocantins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
0 - 6
PAL
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 1
KEC
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
IPO
0 - 3
TOC
29%
24%
47%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 1
TOC
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GUR
1 - 0
TOC
62%
20%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |