TSW Pegasus FC vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 4
WTP
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
SRI
3 - 2
PFC
33%
23%
44%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 3
SON
56%
22%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
PFC
3 - 0
VBS
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
PFC
2 - 3
SCA
36%
25%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
TMS
1 - 1
CAA
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
TCS
0 - 1
CAA
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
YOK
5 - 2
CAA
50%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 3
SCA
25%
22%
53%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAA
1 - 2
SCA
26%
23%
51%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |