TSV Nördlingen vs Dachau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
3º
18º
6º
40
8º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
21.5% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 67 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 65 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
60 | 63 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
59 | 60 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 47 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 46 |
10º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
44 | 45 |
11º
|
54% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
71.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 43 |
13º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
60.5% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
99% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 30 |
16º
|
99% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 60.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSV Nördlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FCG
1 - 5
TSV
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
FCP
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
2 - 1
HEI
46%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ISM
1 - 2
TSV
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
3 - 0
VRG
79%
13%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Dachau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DAC
1 - 1
TUR
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LAN
4 - 2
DAC
75%
15%
11%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
DAC
3 - 0
KOT
25%
22%
53%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCG
4 - 1
DAC
52%
22%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
HEI
3 - 2
DAC
75%
14%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |