Meerbusch vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.1%
44%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
18º
16º
52
3º
15º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
38.5% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
61.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 1
MEE
15%
17%
69%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
0 - 3
SCH
39%
21%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 1
MEE
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 3
MFC
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
3 - 1
MEE
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VFB
4 - 0
SON
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
NET
3 - 1
VFB
35%
24%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VFB
2 - 1
HIL
17%
20%
63%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
VFB
1 - 2
KLE
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TDV
2 - 0
VFB
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |