Oberliga Bayern North Round 31

TSV Abtswind vs ASV Cham analysis

TSV Abtswind ASV Cham
49 ELO 53
-2.8% Tilt -3.3%
5445º General ELO ranking 3898º
270º Country ELO ranking 168º
ELO win probability
34%
TSV Abtswind
26.1%
Draw
39.9%
ASV Cham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
TSV Abtswind
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.9%
Win probability
ASV Cham
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
TSV Abtswind
-47%
+36%
ASV Cham

Points and table prediction

TSV Abtswind
Their league position
ASV Cham
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
17º
14º
55
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
VfB Eichstätt
74
74
100%
Eltersdorf
73
73
100%
Ingolstadt 04 II
66
66
100%
ATSV Erlangen
62
62
100%
ASV Cham
55
55
100%
Fortuna Regensburg
53
53
100%
Weiden
50
50
100%
TSV Kornburg
47
47
100%
Neudrossenfeld
46
46
0%
Würzburger FV
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Bayern Hof
11º
43
43
11º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
13º
41
41
13º
100%
TSV Abtswind
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Ammerthal
15º
35
35
15º
100%
DJK Gebenbach
16º
35
35
16º
100%
FC Eintracht Münchberg
17º
20
20
17º
100%
TSV Karlburg
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
TSV Abtswind
ASV Cham
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

TSV Abtswind
ASV Cham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

TSV Abtswind
TSV Abtswind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
BAY
Bayern Hof
2 - 0
TSV Abtswind
TSV
38%
26%
36%
49 47 2 0
12 Apr. 2025
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Neudrossenfeld
NEU
51%
24%
26%
48 46 2 +1
04 Apr. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
0 - 0
TSV Abtswind
TSV
49%
24%
27%
47 50 3 +1
29 Mar. 2025
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
43%
24%
33%
46 46 0 +1
22 Mar. 2025
WUR
Würzburger FV
2 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
28%
25%
47%
45 37 8 +1

Matches

ASV Cham
ASV Cham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
ASV
ASV Cham
2 - 0
TSV Karlburg
TSK
82%
13%
5%
52 27 25 0
12 Apr. 2025
ASV
ASV Cham
2 - 2
Bayern Hof
BAY
56%
23%
21%
51 46 5 +1
04 Apr. 2025
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
1 - 0
ASV Cham
ASV
25%
25%
50%
51 43 8 0
28 Mar. 2025
ASV
ASV Cham
1 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
44%
25%
31%
49 50 1 +2
22 Mar. 2025
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
1 - 0
ASV Cham
ASV
34%
24%
42%
49 44 5 0