TSG Backnang vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
34.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
15º
9º
37
7º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
63 | 70 |
1º
|
33.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 69 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 66 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 57 |
5º
|
97% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 49 |
6º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 49 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 42 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 41 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 41 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 41 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 38 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 37 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 37 |
16º
|
37% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 34 |
17º
|
74% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 16 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
87.5% | 77% |
|
Relegation
|
12.5% | 23% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TSG Backnang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 0
TSB
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TSB
4 - 3
FSV
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 3
TSB
67%
17%
16%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 2
GOP
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
REU
0 - 1
TSB
36%
23%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 2
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 1
TSV
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
OFF
1 - 2
VFR
21%
20%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VFR
2 - 1
RAV
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCH
0 - 2
VFR
36%
21%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |