Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
22.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
AUG
3 - 1
HOF
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
HOF
7 - 0
BIF
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
CHI
1 - 1
HOF
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
HER
0 - 5
HOF
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
HOF
0 - 1
LEV
38%
24%
39%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 0
HER
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HAN
2 - 3
BRE
45%
23%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
MSV
3 - 1
BRE
17%
20%
64%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 1
DIB
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2015 |
BRE
3 - 2
COT
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |