Hoffenheim vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
HOF
61%
20%
19%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
HOF
2 - 2
FCU
58%
21%
21%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AUG
0 - 4
HOF
20%
21%
59%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
VIK
2 - 3
HOF
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOF
3 - 1
REI
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
M05
0 - 0
KSC
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
M05
3 - 0
SGF
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BOC
2 - 0
M05
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
M05
1 - 0
RBL
13%
19%
68%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
ELV
2 - 2
M05
12%
17%
71%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |