Hoffenheim vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
67.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HSV
2 - 0
HOF
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HOF
1 - 4
BRE
30%
23%
47%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2012 |
FCN
4 - 2
HOF
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
HOF
1 - 2
LEV
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
HOF
1 - 3
WOL
41%
25%
33%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BVB
2 - 3
WOL
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 0
MAC
37%
25%
39%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BYM
1 - 1
BVB
59%
21%
20%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
BVB
1 - 1
F95
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
M05
1 - 2
BVB
17%
22%
62%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |