Hartberg II vs Union Gamlitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.9%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
10º
3º
40
1º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 54 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
4º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 49 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
6º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 47 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 42 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 21 |
15º
|
77% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hartberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
TSH
0 - 2
FUR
23%
20%
57%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SVF
1 - 2
TSH
56%
20%
24%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TSH
0 - 3
MOK
29%
22%
49%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
LEB
3 - 2
TSH
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSH
2 - 0
SUT
52%
20%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 2
SVF
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MOK
0 - 3
UGA
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
UGA
3 - 2
LEB
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 0
UGA
14%
17%
69%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
UGA
5 - 1
KAL
40%
23%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |